Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000772 0.000881 0.000996 0.001127 0.001270 0.001423 0.001598
2025-03-16 0.000592 0.000740 0.000908 0.001112 0.001349 0.001615 0.001936
2025-03-23 0.000497 0.000662 0.000858 0.001104 0.001403 0.001750 0.002180
2025-03-30 0.000428 0.000604 0.000822 0.001105 0.001460 0.001884 0.002424
2025-04-06 0.000370 0.000551 0.000782 0.001094 0.001496 0.001988 0.002629
2025-04-13 0.000320 0.000500 0.000740 0.001074 0.001515 0.002068 0.002803
2025-04-20 0.000293 0.000479 0.000734 0.001098 0.001589 0.002217 0.003064
2025-04-27 0.000267 0.000456 0.000723 0.001113 0.001651 0.002349 0.003306
2025-05-04 0.000237 0.000423 0.000695 0.001101 0.001673 0.002429 0.003481
2025-05-11 0.000208 0.000389 0.000662 0.001080 0.001681 0.002489 0.003629
2025-05-18 0.000192 0.000374 0.000654 0.001094 0.001737 0.002613 0.003864
2025-05-25 0.000175 0.000355 0.000640 0.001097 0.001776 0.002715 0.004070
2025-06-01 0.000151 0.000323 0.000604 0.001064 0.001764 0.002745 0.004181
2025-06-08 0.000131 0.000294 0.000570 0.001033 0.001751 0.002775 0.004291
2025-06-15 0.000118 0.000277 0.000555 0.001031 0.001781 0.002863 0.004484
2025-06-22 0.000107 0.000263 0.000542 0.001031 0.001812 0.002955 0.004683
2025-06-29 0.000095 0.000246 0.000524 0.001020 0.001828 0.003023 0.004849
2025-07-06 0.000084 0.000228 0.000501 0.001001 0.001828 0.003067 0.004980
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000223 0.000503 0.001024 0.001894 0.003211 0.005259
2025-07-20 0.000074 0.000217 0.000501 0.001038 0.001948 0.003337 0.005513
2025-07-27 0.000066 0.000203 0.000485 0.001027 0.001958 0.003397 0.005670
2025-08-03 0.000058 0.000189 0.000464 0.001007 0.001954 0.003434 0.005795
2025-08-10 0.000054 0.000183 0.000462 0.001020 0.002005 0.003557 0.006049